hliu092 发表于 2016-5-5 09:51:56

05/05/2016

GBP/CHF buying order has been completed at 1.3875, with 30 points bonus. The forecasting news of GBP in UK business hours today is negative, so it is better to cease holding GBP at the peak points during the Paicific business hours. The European Center Bank Economic Bulletin is rather important due to the projection of GDP and inflation, which determines the EUR trend over the medium term together with the coming USA projection by Federal Minute.      

hliu092 发表于 2016-5-5 16:43:53

AUD/CHF selling order has been completed at 0.7205. AUD is the appreciation expectation against USD now!

hliu092 发表于 2016-5-5 16:45:18

Another currency is CAD. If CAD is ascending today, then it would depreciate on Friday!;P

hliu092 发表于 2016-5-5 17:05:29

Actually, it is hard to explain why EUR/USD goes down after this ECB bulletin. However, if market response to this news is depreciation today, then EUR/USD would goes down in the medium term. ;P

hliu092 发表于 2016-5-5 17:07:17

After all, GDP of Australian is much better than USA at this time, so holding AUD is reasonalbe after sharping depreciation of AUD in this week.

hliu092 发表于 2016-5-5 17:12:28

Pacific hedge foundation has already come today! ---- AUD/USD is ascending while JPY/USD is descending!

hliu092 发表于 2016-5-5 17:44:20

Another notable events is that the forecasting European GDP growth releasing on 13/05/2016 comes out just after ECB bulletin, and the forecasting GDP growth is down to 0.4% as compared to the 0.6% of preliminary flash estimate from eurostat on last week.

hliu092 发表于 2016-5-5 17:45:03

I always tell you like this : the forecasting GDP is rather important

hliu092 发表于 2016-5-5 19:25:20

There are several kinds of GDP or CPI in Europe and USA. However, usually the forecasting or projection ones are more important than the actual data releasing. Hence keeping to stare at the forecasting GDP or CPI is rather important for judging the overall trend in the medium term. In today's case, European GDP growth which will be released on 13/05/2016 has been forecasted today, showing down trend from previous 0.6% to 0.4%, so the market shows apparent descending trend of EUR/USD.

hliu092 发表于 2016-5-5 19:28:49

However, I believe that AUD would rebound against USD after depreciation in this week!
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